SAG...

Threw this together a few days ago. Might as well p(izz)ost it.

Screen Actors Guild Award Predictions

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
Will Win: Desparate Housewives
Should Win: Arrested Development
Should Have Been Nominated: The Office

So I guess Desparate Housewives is essentially unstoppable, although I could see SAG giving the award to Everybody Loves Raymond simply because it's the final season. What happened to the love for Arrested Development? The show is still a critical success, but it seems that everyone is jumping ship on it. As far as an ensemble cast in a comedy goes, the cast of the Office is much more deserving than My Name is Earl (although My Name is Earl is comical, the majority of the shows success lies in Jason Lee). I stick with Desparate Housewives on winning this one.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
Will Win: Lost
Should Win: Lost
Should Have Been Nominated: Veronica Mars

Like Desparate Housewives, Lost is the TV Drama to beat. Grey's Anatomy could sneak up on them but I really think Lost will take it. I didn't even know The West Wing was still on the air. Nobody watches the Closer. Six Feet Under is too offbeat (see Arrested Development). Veronica Mars is a critical success, surprised it didn't make the cut.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Will Win: Felicity Huffman, Desparate Housewives
Should Win: Mary Louise Parker, Weeds
Should Have Been Nominated: Cheryl Hines, Curb Your Enthusiasm

I really find it hard to grasp how Felicity Huffman always stands out at these awards shows. If SAG is nominating females in comedy series Longoria and Teri Hatcher make more sense than Huffman. But history is on her side. After her surprise Emmy win, she's been unstoppable. Cheryl Hines is nominated too infrequently considering how great she is in Curb Your Enthusiasm. Playing opposite Larry David is a challenge in itself and she does it with charm and wit.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
Will Win: Jason Lee, My Name is Earl
Should Win: Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm
Should Have Been Nominated: Rainn Wilson, The Office

SAG will most likely give the newcomer his due. His role on My Name is Earl is clever and deserving. Larry David has been so consistent on Curb Your Enthusiasm, yet it generally seems to be overlooked. I think Rainn Wilson should get some credit for playing the off-the-wall Dwight on The Office. Since the series is picking up critically and ratings-wise, I could see it garnering more nominations in the future.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
Will Win: Geena Davis, Commander in Chief
Should Win: Sandra Oh, Grey's Anatomy
Should Have Been Nominated: Emilie de Ravin, Lost; Maggie Grace, Lost; Kristen Bell, Veronica Mars

Geena Davis made a comeback and SAG will give her the award. Sandra Oh could be the surprise of the night though. She was charming and surprising at the Golden Globes, making her the likely competition. Emilie de Ravin is so great on Lost, and sort of an unknown. I think it would be cool to see her get a nomination at some point, though it is highly unlikely. Likewise, Maggie Grace blew me out of the water in her final episode. Who woulda thought the star of The Fog could pull off such an intense farewell?

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Will Win: Hugh Laurie, House
Should Win: Patrick Dempsey, Grey's Anatomy
Should Have Been Nominated: Adewale Akinnuoye-Agbaje, Lost

I guess I'm sort of confused why Grey's Anatomy gets put up in the drama category but Desparate Housewives doesn't. Laurie will take the award, although I could see Ian McShane walking away with it. Alda is a favorite, but I doubt he will be able to stop House. Mr. Eko is a great character played to perfection by Akinnuoye-Agbaje. Perhaps he will get a nod next year.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Will Win: Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain
Should Win: Catherine Keener, Capote
Should Have Been Nominated: Maria Bello, A History of Violence

Although Rachel Weisz walked away with the Globe for her role in The Constant Gardener, I think the success of Brokeback Mountain will bring votes to Williams. Probably just me wanting Keener to win because I have always loved her but she's a longshot. Bello's role in A History of Violence deserves more attention than half of the nominees.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Will Win: Matt Dillon, Crash
Should Win: George Clooney, Syriana
Should Have Been Nominated: Jeffrey Wright, Broken Flowers (or Syriana)

Tough call on this category, everyone nominated seems to have some force behind them. Two nominees from Crash could hurt Dillon's chances but I think (like Geena Davis) it's a comeback of sorts and SAG will recognize it. Everyone loves Crash anyway. Clooney deserves the award. Gyllenhaal's performance in Brokeback Mountain is overshadowed by Ledger's. Don't count out Giamatti either, He's held consistent with nominations and Hollywood loves him. Jeffrey Wright had an incredible year. His performance in Broken Flowers no doubt deserves some sort of recognition.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Will Win: Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Should Win: Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Should Have Been Nominated: Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale

It's Reese for this one with Felicity Huffman proving the only viable competition. Hollywood loves Witherspoon and her performance is more than deserving. If Huffman wins for Housewives then she likely won't beat out Reese.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Will Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Should Have Been Nominated: Christian Bale, Batman Begins

Hoffman definitely deserves the award but isn't a lock. Don't be surprised if Ledger sneaks in.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Will Win: Brokeback Mountain
Should Win: Good Night, and Good Luck.
Should Have Been Nominated: Broken Flowers; The Squid and the Whale

Brokeback is pretty much a given. I would love to see Good Night and Good Luck take it or Capote for that matter. Crash has more a chance than I'd like. Broken Flowers and The Squid and the Whale were two great ensemble pieces where every member of the cast was in top form.